Match Info

Serie D - Group C - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mestre		Cjarlins Muzane

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.00	3.20
	2	3.08	3.26
	1.89	3.46	3.63	Watch
	1.96	3	3.15
	2.03	3.16	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.43)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.31 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mestre
44.7%

Draw
28.4%

Cjarlins Muzane
26.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mestre's performance.

Cjarlins Muzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cjarlins Muzane might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cjarlins Muzane than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion - Serie D - Group C Playoffs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 1.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Cjarlins Muzane could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Mestre has recorded 7 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:15 (averaging 2.1:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mestre against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:7 goals (averaging 2.3:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cjarlins Muzane	9	7	0	2	22:11	11	21
7	Mestre	9	3	4	2	12:10	2	13

Last Results with these Odds

Cjarlins Muzane - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.26%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Mestre
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.10.26	Conegliano - Mestre	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Mestre - Campodarsego	1:1 ✺
27.09.26	Obermais - Mestre	2:2 ✺
20.09.26	Mestre - Altavilla	3:2 ✺
12.09.26	Mestre - Luparense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LTTWT
- ASD Cjarlins Muzane
Italian Serie D - Group C
11.10.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Legnago Salus	0:4 ✺
03.10.26	Lavarian Mortean Esperia - Cjarlins Muzane	0:3 ✺
27.09.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Triestina	3:0 ✺
20.09.26	Este - Cjarlins Muzane	1:2 ✺
16.09.26	Cjarlins Muzane - Conegliano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group C
01.02.26	Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1
28.09.25	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	1:0
12.01.25	Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane	1:1
14.09.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	2:3
25.02.24	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	2:0
22.10.23	Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane	1:0
12.03.23	Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre	0:1

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