The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mestre 41.8%
Draw 29.9%
Cjarlins Muzane 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.4%
30.3%
31.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
29.7%
30.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Cjarlins Muzane has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cjarlins Muzane than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Mestre - Cjarlins Muzane Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, Bangal F. ⚽,
76', 1 - 1, Marangon G. ⚽,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group C (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 2.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Recently, Mestre has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Mestre won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:14. (average 2.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Mestre won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Cjarlins Muzane
6
5
0
1
17:5
12
15
4
Mestre
6
2
4
0
9:6
3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Mestre - the odds 2.35 are the expected chance of winning is 38.39%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.