Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		LNZ Cherkasy

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6.1	3.9	1.5
	6.33	3.26	1.65	Watch
	6.13	3.58	1.57	Watch
	7.5	4	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.52 ↑ (5.43)	3.69 ↓ (4)	1.52 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
14.2%

Draw
25.1%

LNZ Cherkasy
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

23.3%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

22.8%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

LNZ Cherkasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for LNZ Cherkasy than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Metalist Kharkiv - LNZ Cherkasy Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.25 - Metalist (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Metalist (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rybak V. (C) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 24. Fedoriv V. 27. Isaenko Y. 19. Kaydalov D. 7. Lutsiv P. 2. Mizyuk O. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 5. Pidruchnyi D. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 11. Tsvirenko O.	12. Palamarchuk O. (G) 90. Assinor M. 4. Dajko A. 29. Didyk R. 25. Gorin O. 10. Jashari M. 17. Kuzyk D. 11. Pasich G. 19. Pastukh Y. 16. Ryabov A. 6. Tankovskiy V.
Substitutes
47. Andreev 39. Gryshchenko I. 46. Kolotay M. 9. Lutsiv V. 38. Palyanychka K. 35. Pletnyov P. (G) 32. Shakhmayev M. 30. Shapovalov I. 40. Shevchenko M. 41. Smatko A. (G) 20. Vernattus D.	9. Avagymyan A. 28. Blahodarnyi D. 18. Kapliyenko O. 23. Kravchuk D. 21. Lepskyi O. 5. Nonikashvili S. 24. Podolyak M. 72. Samoylenko K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Tankovskiy V. ⚽, Jashari M. (A),
34', Gorin O. 🟨,
40', Tankovskiy V. 🟨,
43', Fedoriv V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 2, Assinor M. (Pen),
60', Lutsiv P. ↓, Prymak ↑,
70', 🟨,
80', 🟨,

Preview

Recent form of Metalist has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LNZ's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Metalist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, LNZ is the undeniable favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
13.09.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Prykarpattia Ivano-Frankivsk	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Metalist Kharkiv - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 WLTLL
- LNZ Cherkasy
Ukrainian Premier League
12.09.25	Oleksandriya - LNZ Cherkasy	4:1 ✺
31.08.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Veres Rivne	0:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.25	Probiy Horodenka - LNZ Cherkasy	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Premier League
17.08.25	Polissya Zhytomyr - LNZ Cherkasy	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	LNZ Cherkasy - Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLWWW

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