Match Info

Ukrainian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Metalist Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.10	3.50
	2.18	3.00	2.95
	2.25	3.03	3.21	Watch
	1.95	2.90	3.50
	2.11	3.20	3.44	Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.24)	3.06 ↑ (3.01)	3.38 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
43.9%

Draw
29.5%

Metalist Kharkiv
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

30.4%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.3%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The ML Model estimate for Viktoriya Sumy aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 29. Ryabyi A. 4. Melnyk D. 5. Vasyliev O. 17. Dedyaev A. 18. Dedukh R. 27. Dolinskyi D. (C) 15. Kirichenko D. 11. Lebedenko O. 70. Lyegostayev A. 7. Hryshchenko D.	35. Pletnyov P. (G) 21. Zdankov A. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 2. Mizyuk O. 29. Abramov Y. 30. Shapovalov I. 39. Gryshchenko I. 10. Bagachanskyi M. (C) 27. Isaenko Y. 17. Prykhodko D. 9. Lutsiv V.
Substitutes
9. Chernov O. 8. Dobrokhotov Y. 45. Ilchuk I. 6. Khamelyuk V. 31. Kucheruk V. (G) 16. Novotryasov A. 28. Ryabyi D. 25. Sharay S. 22. Shpyryonok A. 33. Ulyanov D. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	8. Digtyar K. 19. Kaydalov D. 46. Kolotay M. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 31. Porokh B. 48. Prymak D. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Viktoriya has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Metalist is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Viktoriya could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Metalist Kharkiv - the odds 3.17 are the expected chance of winning is 28.83%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Polissya Zhytomyr 2	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Probiy Horodenka - Viktoriya Sumy	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
21.08.26	Podillya Khmelnytskyi - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Viktoriya Sumy - Kulykiv-Bilka	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Lokomotyv Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWWWW
- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
05.09.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.26	Penuel - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
28.03.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Viktoriya Sumy	2:1
06.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0

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