Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 25

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)

Referee: Ivanov Y. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Unian TV


	Metalist Kharkiv		Lviv

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	2.95
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.29	3.33	3.25
	2.25	3.1	3
	2.3	3.36	3.05	Watch
	2.32	3.25	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.33)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.03 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
40.8%

Draw
28.5%

Lviv
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

27.3%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

25.7%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lviv than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lviv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metalist Kharkiv - Lviv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga).

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Metalist could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metalist won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.23	Dnipro-1 - Metalist Kharkiv	5:0 ✺
28.04.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Dynamo Kyiv	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Vorskla Poltava - Metalist Kharkiv	3:2 ✺
15.04.23	Metalist Kharkiv - Veres Rivne	5:5 ✺
08.04.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Metalist Kharkiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- FC Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
03.05.23	Lviv - Oleksandriya	0:1 ✺
28.04.23	Veres Rivne - Lviv	3:2 ✺
23.04.23	Lviv - Kharkiv	0:2 ✺
16.04.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Lviv	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
30.10.22	Lviv - Metalist Kharkiv	1:1

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