Match Info

UKRAINE: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 22

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Arena Lviv (Lviv)

Referee: Kopievsky V. (Ukr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Lviv		Kharkiv

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.2
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.33	3.17	3.34
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.24	3.25	3.26	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.65)	3.09 ↓ (3.34)	3.23 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lviv
41.1%

Draw
30.1%

Kharkiv
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

28.4%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

27%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lviv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lviv's performance.

Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kharkiv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lviv than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kharkiv could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Lviv - Kharkiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Lviv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kharkiv will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 11).

Lviv has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Metalist 1925 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lviv could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lviv won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Lviv won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lviv
Ukrainian Premier League
16.04.23	Shakhtar Donetsk - Lviv	2:0 ✺
12.04.23	Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Dnipro-1 - Lviv	5:2 ✺
02.04.23	Lviv - Dynamo Kyiv	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Lviv - Kryvbas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLT
- FC Kharkiv
Ukrainian Premier League
15.04.23	Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:0 ✺
09.04.23	Kolos Kovalivka - Kharkiv	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Kharkiv - Dnipro-1	0:3 ✺
18.03.23	Vorskla Poltava - Kharkiv	0:0 ✺
11.03.23	Chornomorets Odesa - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Premier League
15.10.22	Kharkiv - Lviv	2:2
19.09.21	Lviv - Kharkiv	0:0

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