Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 6

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: OSC Metalist (Kharkiv)


	Metalist Kharkiv		UCSA

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.00	3.25
	2.08	3.15	3.3
	2.09	3.04	3.14
	1.97	3.34	3.57	Watch
	2.11	3.1	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.82)	3.13 ↓ (3.4)	3.31 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalist Kharkiv
43.8%

Draw
28.9%

UCSA
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

26.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalist Kharkiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalist Kharkiv's form might have worsened.

UCSA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist Kharkiv than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist Kharkiv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCSA than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Pletnyov P. (G) 10. Bagachanskyi M. 8. Digtyar K. (C) 19. Kaydalov D. 98. Orikhovskyi M. 31. Porokh B. 33. Sherstyuk Y. 6. Teplyakov D. 11. Tsvirenko O. 20. Vernattus D. 14. Vlaga K.	12. Kovalyov A. (G) 20. Andrushchenko M. 73. Castro P. (C) 9. Khoblenko O. 15. Osman O. 45. Sabiyev D. 17. Sklyar O. 7. Sytnykov M. 49. Vitinho 6. Yuvkhymets R. 4. Zakhidnyi P.
Substitutes
29. Abramov Y. 39. Gryshchenko I. 27. Isaenko Y. 46. Kolotay M. 9. Lutsiv V. 2. Mizyuk O. 43. Polyakov G. (G) 48. Prymak D. 30. Shapovalov I. 21. Zdankov D. (G)	21. Dvorovenko V. 11. Emere A. 70. Irodovskyi D. 42. Makhnev D. 10. Matheusinho 32. Petko S. 77. Potskhveria I. 87. Wojciechowski V. 31. Yushchyshyn V. (G) 28. Zhdanovych O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Khoblenko O. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Vernattus D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Andrushchenko M. ↓, Zhdanovych O. ↑,
57', 2 - 1, Digtyar K. ⚽,
73', Porokh B. 🟨,
77', Sytnykov M. ↓, Emere A. ↑,
77', Vitinho ↓, Matheusinho ↑,
78', Sklyar O. ↓, Petko S. ↑,
80', Sabiyev D. 🟨,
80', Orikhovskyi M. ↓, Abramov Y. ↑,
85', Sabiyev D. ↓, Makhnev D. ↑,
87', Tsvirenko O. ↓, Mizyuk O. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Porokh B. ⚽,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

Metalist is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

UCSA has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, UCSA has had a series of home games.

Metalist might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Metalist won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Metalist won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Metalist Kharkiv	10	4	2	4	11:11	0	14
13	UCSA	10	2	4	4	14:17	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalist Kharkiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
30.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Nyva Ternopil	1:1 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
23.08.26	Penuel - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Oleksandriya	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Polissya Zhytomyr 2 - Metalist Kharkiv	0:1 ✺
01.08.26	Metalist Kharkiv - Probiy Horodenka	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWLWW
- UCSA Kyiv
Ukrainian Persha Liga
29.08.26	UCSA - Inhulets	1:2 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
22.08.26	UCSA - Kolos Kovalivka	0:3 ✺
Ukrainian Persha Liga
15.08.26	Poltava - UCSA	0:0 ✺
07.08.26	UCSA - Nyva Ternopil	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	UCSA - Oleksandriya	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
23.05.26	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	2:0
01.11.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	2:1
18.05.25	UCSA - Metalist Kharkiv	3:3
18.04.25	Metalist Kharkiv - UCSA	0:2

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