Match Info

UKRAINE: Persha Liga - Round 12

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Slavutych-Arena (Zaporizhia)


	Metalurh Zaporizhya		Kudrivka

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.05
	3.5	3.1	2.04
	3.4	3.05	2.04
	3.56	3.12	2.05
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.53	3.05	2.05
	3.5	3.1	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.94)	3.06 ↓ (3.22)	2.03 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metalurh Zaporizhya
26%

Draw
29.5%

Kudrivka
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

28.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.8%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalurh Zaporizhya's form might have worsened.

Kudrivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kudrivka than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kudrivka Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Metalurh Z will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Kudrivka will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bayda N. (G) 10. Alibekov A. 77. Bandurin A. 18. Bliznichenko A. 19. Borysenko V. 7. Irodovskyi D. 21. Klymenko V. 13. Kozlov A. 25. Krapyvny D. (C) 6. Strads M. 22. Yurechko I.	37. Yashkov A. (C) 19. Dumanyuk A. 99. Gagun R. 7. Korkishko D. 10. Lytovchenko O. 39. Machelyuk A. 14. Matveev K. 69. Potimkov Y. 17. Serdyuk M. 8. Storchous A. 30. Tuzenko D.
Substitutes
28. Blyznyuk V. 8. Falkovskyi D. 17. Khussin T. 53. Kostyuchenko D. 9. Kurylets D. 23. Osadchuk A. (G) 14. Polyovyi V. 1. Sledzevskyi A. (G) 35. Tovkach A. 99. Varyanik V. 15. Vasylchenko V.	23. Andrushchenko M. 27. Kvasov Y. 77. Lyegostayev A. 1. Lyopka R. (G) 90. Mamrosenko I. 9. Nekhtiy V. 33. Vasko A. 6. Vechurko M. 88. Yevtushenko O. 12. Zaichenko D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 0 - 1, Lytovchenko O. ⚽,
29', Korkishko D. ↓, Andrushchenko M. ↑,
33', 1 - 1, Alibekov A. ⚽,
36', Yurechko I. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Storchous A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 🟨,
59', Matveev K. 🟨,
63', Matveev K. ↓, Vechurko M. ↑,
63', Lytovchenko O. ↓, Lyegostayev A. ↑,
63', Tuzenko D. ↓, Nekhtiy V. ↑,
70', Alibekov A. ↓, Blyznyuk V. ↑,
70', Bayda N. ↓, Sledzevskyi A. ↑,
79', Storchous A. ↓, Yevtushenko O. ↑,
81', Bandurin A. ↓, Kurylets D. ↑,
81', Borysenko V. ↓, Falkovskyi D. ↑,
82', Dumanyuk A. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Yevtushenko O. ⚽,
90+3', Dumanyuk A. ↓, Vasko A. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Persha Liga (Promotion Group: )).

Metalurh Z is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kudrivka-Nyva is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kudrivka-Nyva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Metalurh Z won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0 ✺
29.09.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Metalurh Zaporizhya	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - UCSA	1:2 ✺
12.09.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Kharkiv	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLLLT
- FC Kudrivka
Ukrainian Persha Liga
10.10.24	Dinaz Vyshgorod - Kudrivka	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	UCSA - Kudrivka	3:4 ✺
21.09.24	Kudrivka - Kharkiv	1:1 ✺
16.09.24	Feniks-Mariupol - Kudrivka	0:0 ✺
11.09.24	Kudrivka - Poltava	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.7 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
26.08.24	Kudrivka - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0

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