Match Info

Persha Liga - Round 11

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Yuvileiny Stadium (Sumy)


	Viktoriya Sumy		Metalurh Zaporizhya

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.15	7.1
	1.45	3.97	6.63	Watch
	1.4	4.1	7.12
	1.4	4	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	4.06 ↑ (3.95)	6.96 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoriya Sumy
64.4%

Draw
22.5%

Metalurh Zaporizhya
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

23.3%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

22%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoriya Sumy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoriya Sumy than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Viktoriya will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Metalurh Z will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Viktoriya (votes: 1 - 50%). Metalurh Z (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lytvynenko O. (G) 9. Chernov O. 17. Dedyaev A. 4. Dudnyk Y. 6. Khamelyuk V. 10. Knysh D. 11. Lebedenko O. 8. Palamar R. 45. Sasovskyi M. 33. Ulyanov D. (C) 15. Yevpak M.	1. Bayda N. (G) 18. Bliznichenko A. (C) 19. Borysenko V. 15. Chervinskyi D. 3. Doroshenko D. 7. Irodovskyi D. 53. Kostyuchenko D. 9. Nekhtiy V. 28. Rudavskyi M. 8. Savitskyi A. 17. Yurechko I.
Substitutes
77. Bogunov Y. 16. Novotryasov A. 29. Ryabyi A. 28. Ryabyi D. 19. Savitsky V. J. 7. Seytkhalilov S. 25. Sharay S. 1. Yurchenko N. (G)	99. Bilyaev K. 33. Klimov G. (G) 2. Levchenko N. 13. Machulyan T. 25. Misanov M. 23. Slyusar D. 22. Tuzenko D. 10. Zelinskyi D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Rudavskyi M. ↓, Misanov M. ↑,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
59', 1 - 0, Yevpak M. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, Sharay S. ⚽,
79', 3 - 0, Sharay S. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 2.

Viktoriya is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Metalurh Z's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Metalurh Z has had a series of home games.

In this match, Viktoriya is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Viktoriya won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Viktoriya won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoriya Sumy
Ukrainian Persha Liga
09.10.25	Chornomorets Odesa - Viktoriya Sumy	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Viktoriya Sumy - UCSA	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Vorskla Poltava - Viktoriya Sumy	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Viktoriya Sumy - Podillya Khmelnytskyi	0:0 ✺
Ukrainian Cup
17.09.25	Livyi Bereh Kyiv - Viktoriya Sumy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWTTW
- Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Probiy Horodenka	0:1 ✺
04.10.25	Ahrobiznes Volochysk - Metalurh Zaporizhya	3:0 ✺
29.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Inhulets	0:0 ✺
25.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Metalist Kharkiv	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Feniks-Mariupol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian Persha Liga
08.10.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:0
17.08.24	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	1:3
Ukrainian Cup
03.08.24	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:0
Ukrainian Persha Liga
07.10.23	Metalurh Zaporizhya - Viktoriya Sumy	2:0
06.08.23	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	1:1
Ukrainian Druha Liga
11.09.21	Viktoriya Sumy - Metalurh Zaporizhya	0:1

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