Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade des Vert et Blanc (La Bruyère)


	Meux		Mons

	1	X	2
	4.45	3.45	1.65
	4.86	3.71	1.68
	4.63	3.73	1.66	Watch
	4.6	3.3	1.67
	4.44	3.79	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (4.13)	3.6 ↑ (3.55)	1.67 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Meux
19.9%

Draw
25.4%

Mons
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

25.9%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22%

25.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Meux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Mons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Meux than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mons than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Meux - Mons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
31', 2 - 0, ⚽,
38', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
53', 3 - 1, ⚽,
56', 3 - 2, ⚽,
67', 3 - 3, ⚽,
71', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Meux has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mons is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Mons is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Meux won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Meux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Meux	7	5	1	1	15:5	10	16
6	Renaissance Mons	7	3	1	3	16:13	3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RFC Meux
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
21.03.26	Union Rochefortoise - Meux	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Meux - Excelsior Virton	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Meux - Habay-la-Neuve	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tubize - Meux	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Meux - Tubize	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWLT
- RAEC Mons
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
21.03.26	Mons - Habay-la-Neuve	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tubize - Mons	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Mons	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Mons - Union Rochefortoise	3:0 ✺
15.02.26	Stockay-Warfusée - Mons	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
08.11.25	Mons - Meux	1:1
06.09.25	Meux - Mons	0:2

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