Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Round 9

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Mons		Union Rochefortoise

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.50	4.00
	1.95	3.55	3.51
	1.91	3.62	3.49	Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.45
	1.90	3.83	3.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↑ (1.7)	3.6 ↑ (3.5)	3.57 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mons
48.8%

Draw
25.5%

Union Rochefortoise
25.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.3%

25.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.2%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Union Rochefortoise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mons than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mons, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Rochefortoise than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Mons - Union Rochefortoise Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,
78', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th in the National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mons won 3.

Mons has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Union Rochefortoise is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Union Rochefortoise may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Mons for this game.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Mons has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:5 (averaging 1.8:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mons against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 9:0 goals (averaging 2.3:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Union Rochefortoise	10	6	2	2	21:9	12	20
5	Renaissance Mons	10	5	2	3	22:16	6	17

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RAEC Mons
Belgian Cup
17.10.26	Mons - Charleroi	0:1 AET ✺
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
11.10.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Mons	2:2 ✺
07.10.26	Standard Liège U23 - Mons	3:2 ✺
03.10.26	Mons - Flénu	4:0 ✺
20.09.26	Onhaye - Mons	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLWW
- Union Rochefortoise
Belgian Cup
18.10.26	Union Rochefortoise - Gent	4:3 penalties ✺
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
10.10.26	Meux - Union Rochefortoise	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Union Rochefortoise - Standard Liège U23	1:0 ✺
30.09.26	RWDM Brussels - Union Rochefortoise	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Union Rochefortoise - Charleroi B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 75.3 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
11.04.26	Union Rochefortoise - Mons	1:3
28.02.26	Mons - Union Rochefortoise	3:0
08.02.26	Union Rochefortoise - Mons	3:1
30.08.25	Mons - Union Rochefortoise	5:0
04.05.25	Union Rochefortoise - Mons	1:1
22.03.25	Mons - Union Rochefortoise	0:0
02.02.25	Union Rochefortoise - Mons	0:0

Mons - Union Rochefortoise