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Current Win Probability
Meux 32.1%
Draw 26.5%
Union Rochefortoise 41.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.1%
26.9%
43.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.6%
28.3%
45.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Meux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Union Rochefortoise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meux than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Rochefortoise than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Meux - Union Rochefortoise Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', 0 - 2, ⚽,
85', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: ) and 3rd in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: )).
Meux has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Union Rochefortoise have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Meux has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 1.8:0.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Meux against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1.5:0.5 per game).