The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne 49.7%
Draw 25.5%
Meux 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.1%
23.4%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
23.1%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne's form might have worsened.
Meux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Meux's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Meux than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Meux, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
ROC de Charleroi Marchienne - Meux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 7th in the National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group: ) and 2nd in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: )).
ROCCM is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Meux is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
ROCCM may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, ROCCM is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, ROCCM has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 1.6:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ROCCM against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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