Match Info

Date: 13 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mezzolara		Athletic Carpi

	1	X	2
	2	3.3	3.1
	2.1	3.25	3.05
	2.05	3.22	3.18
	1.83	3.4	3.4
	2.05	3.48	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)	3.33 ↓ (3.34)	3.19 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
44.8%

Draw
27%

Athletic Carpi
28.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.7%

27.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

17.7%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Athletic Carpi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Athletic Carpi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mezzolara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Carpi than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Carpi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mezzolara - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 8).

Recent matches Mezzolara is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletic Carpi is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Athletic Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mezzolara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.03.22	Aglianese - Mezzolara	0:3 ✺
02.03.22	Tritium - Mezzolara	2:2 ✺
27.02.22	Mezzolara - Alcione	1:1 ✺
20.02.22	Correggese - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Mezzolara - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTTLL
- Athletic Carpi
Coppa Italia Serie D
09.03.22	Athletic Carpi - Ponte San Pietro Isola	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
06.03.22	Athletic Carpi - Progresso	2:1 ✺
27.02.22	Borgo San Donnino - Athletic Carpi	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Athletic Carpi - Tritium	1:1 ✺
16.02.22	Sammaurese - Athletic Carpi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
31.10.21	Athletic Carpi - Mezzolara	0:0

Mezzolara - Athletic Carpi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Mezzolara - Athletic Carpi Predictions

Preview

Form

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