Match Info

Date: 27 February 2022, Sunday


	Mezzolara		Alcione

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.02	3	3.4
	2.01	2.89	3.25
	2.05	3.22	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↑ (2.01)	3.05 ↑ (2.89)	3.38 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mezzolara
44.3%

Draw
29.3%

Alcione
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

19.7%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-16%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mezzolara that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (+14.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcione could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mezzolara - Alcione Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Play Offs and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Mezzolara will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mezzolara won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.02.22	Correggese - Mezzolara	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Mezzolara - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2 ✺
12.02.22	Mezzolara - Real Forte Querceta	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Ravenna - Mezzolara	3:1 ✺
02.02.22	Mezzolara - Progresso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLW
- ASD Alcione
Italian Serie D - Group D
20.02.22	Alcione - Progresso	2:1 ✺
16.02.22	Borgo San Donnino - Alcione	1:1 ✺
12.02.22	Alcione - Tritium	2:1 ✺
06.02.22	Sammaurese - Alcione	2:1 ✺
02.02.22	Alcione - Prato	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
20.10.21	Alcione - Mezzolara	2:0

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