Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 19

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Mezzolara		Certaldo

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Mezzolara
46.3%

Draw
30.1%

Certaldo
23.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.2%

30.5%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

29.5%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mezzolara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Certaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mezzolara than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

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We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Mezzolara have a series of guest games.

Recently Certaldo have a series of home games.

Mezzolara will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Mezzolara
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.01.24	Imolese - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Progresso - Mezzolara	2:2 ✺
16.12.23	Mezzolara - Forlì	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Sammaurese - Mezzolara	1:0 ✺
03.12.23	Aglianese - Mezzolara	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTLLT
- ASD Calcio Certaldo
Italian Serie D - Group D
07.01.24	Certaldo - Sammaurese	0:1 ✺
20.12.23	Certaldo - AC Carpi	1:3 ✺
10.12.23	Certaldo - Ravenna	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Corticella - Certaldo	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	Certaldo - Victor San Marino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LLTLW

Mezzolara - Certaldo