The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Certaldo 15.6%
Draw 23.7%
AC Carpi 60.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.1%
22.9%
62.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Certaldo have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for AC Carpi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Certaldo than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for AC Carpi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
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Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )).
Certaldo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Carpi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Carpi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.