Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 16

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday


	Miajadas		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.8
	2.35	2.85	2.7
	2.37	2.85	2.8
	2.42	2.93	2.8
	2.57	2.7	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.77)	2.83 ↑ (2.67)	2.83 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miajadas
36.9%

Draw
31.6%

Villafranca
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

32.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

30.2%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miajadas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Miajadas's performance.

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miajadas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Miajadas - Villafranca Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Miajadas is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Villafranca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Miajadas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Miajadas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.01.23	Miajadas - Calamonte	1:0 ✺
17.12.22	Jerez - Miajadas	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Miajadas - Fuente de Cantos	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Miajadas - Plasencia	2:1 ✺
27.11.22	Moralo - Miajadas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWL
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.01.23	Moralo - Villafranca	4:1 ✺
17.12.22	Villafranca - Arroyo	0:1 ✺
11.12.22	Trujillo - Villafranca	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Azuaga - Villafranca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
11.09.22	Villafranca - Miajadas	1:0
23.01.22	Villafranca - Miajadas	2:0

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