Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 14 - ROUND 17

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Trujillo		Villafranca

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.85	3.4
	2.15	2.95	3.4
	2.06	2.87	3.88
	2	2.87	3.88
	2.04	2.98	3.74
	2.15	2.95	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.22)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	3.62 ↑ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trujillo
43.6%

Draw
31.2%

Villafranca
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

29.3%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Villafranca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villafranca than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

Trujillo is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Villafranca is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trujillo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Trujillo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.01.24	Fuente de Cantos - Trujillo	0:0 ✺
17.12.23	Trujillo - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
03.12.23	Diocesano - Trujillo	1:2 ✺
26.11.23	Trujillo - Castuera	2:0 ✺
19.11.23	Moralo - Trujillo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 TTWWT
- SP Villafranca
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
07.01.24	Villafranca - Coria	0:2 ✺
16.12.23	Calamonte - Villafranca	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Villafranca - Don Álvaro	1:1 ✺
26.11.23	Racing Valverdeño - Villafranca	0:0 ✺
19.11.23	Villafranca - Azuaga	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.23	Villafranca - Trujillo	3:1
11.12.22	Trujillo - Villafranca	2:1
20.03.22	Villafranca - Trujillo	0:0

Trujillo - Villafranca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide