Match Info

Date: 2 July 2022, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Miami City		The Villages

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.8
	3.5	3.65	1.8
	3.5	3.55	1.78
	3.52	3.57	1.83
	3.78	3.78	1.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↓ (4.16)	3.63 ↓ (3.89)	1.8 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miami City
25.3%

Draw
24.8%

The Villages
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.4%

22.8%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

23.5%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miami City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

The Villages has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and The Villages might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami City than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Miami City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Villages than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that The Villages could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	37.5%	25%

Miami City - The Villages Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Miami City will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). The Villages will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miami City: 4% – 71%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Miami City is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches The Villages is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The Villages could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Miami City have a series of guest games.

The Villages will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Miami City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Miami City won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Miami City
USL League Two
22.06.22	Florida Elite - Miami City	2:3 ✺
18.06.22	Weston - Miami City	0:4 ✺
15.06.22	Miami City - FC Florida U23	3:2 ✺
14.06.22	Miami AC - Miami City	2:0 ✺
01.06.22	FC Florida U23 - Miami City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWLW
- The Villages SC
USL League Two
25.06.22	The Villages - Tampa Bay United	1:1 ✺
22.06.22	FC Florida U23 - The Villages	2:2 ✺
18.06.22	The Villages - NONA	1:2 ✺
15.06.22	The Villages - Florida Elite	2:0 ✺
11.06.22	Miami AC - The Villages	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League Two
23.06.21	Miami City - The Villages	0:2
02.07.19	Miami City - The Villages	2:2
08.06.19	The Villages - Miami City	4:2

Miami City - The Villages