Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 10

Date: 17 September 2024, Tuesday


	Mickleover Sports		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.5	1.9
	3.35	3.6	1.91
	3.28	3.81	2.02
	3.3	3.77	2.01	Watch
	4	4	1.57
	3.29	3.48	1.98
	3.35	3.6	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.86)	3.68 ↑ (3.54)	1.9 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mickleover Sports
27%

Draw
24.9%

Worksop Town
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

24.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mickleover Sports has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worksop Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mickleover Sports than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Mickleover Sports - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Bramall D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
49', 0 - 2, Hall L. ⚽,
76', 0 - 3, Bramall D. ⚽,
85', 0 - 4, Gratton J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Mickleover is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Worksop in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Worksop could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Mickleover won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mickleover Sports
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Basford United - Mickleover Sports	0:2 ✺
07.09.24	Mickleover Sports - Matlock Town	2:0 ✺
26.08.24	Mickleover Sports - Lancaster City	0:0 ✺
24.08.24	Prescot Cables - Mickleover Sports	2:2 ✺
20.08.24	Leek Town - Mickleover Sports	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWTTW
- Worksop Town
English FA Cup
14.09.24	Worksop Town - Basford United	6:3 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
10.09.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	2:0 ✺
07.09.24	Leek Town - Worksop Town	0:4 ✺
26.08.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
28.10.23	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	0:5
Club Friendly
28.05.21	Worksop Town - Mickleover Sports	5:0

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