Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 8

Date: 10 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Sandy Lane Stadium (Worksop)


	Worksop Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	1.55	4	4.4
	1.57	4.2	4.5
	1.58	4.42	4.37
	1.61	4.42	4.58	Watch
	1.5	4	4.6
	1.57	4.1	4.64
	1.57	4.2	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.7)	4.19 ↑ (3.78)	4.51 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worksop Town
58.1%

Draw
21.7%

Ilkeston
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

24.1%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

22.9%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Worksop Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Starcenko A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', 2 - 0, Redford V. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: ) and 7).

Worksop in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ilkeston is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Worksop to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Worksop won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Worksop won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
07.09.24	Leek Town - Worksop Town	0:4 ✺
26.08.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Worksop Town	0:2 ✺
24.08.24	Worksop Town - Blyth Spartans	5:2 ✺
20.08.24	Worksop Town - Matlock Town	8:0 ✺
17.08.24	Bamber Bridge - Worksop Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWT
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
07.09.24	Ilkeston - Whitby Town	5:1 ✺
26.08.24	Basford United - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
24.08.24	Ilkeston - Bamber Bridge	2:1 ✺
20.08.24	Ilkeston - Macclesfield Town	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	United of Manchester - Ilkeston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
13.01.24	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:2
09.09.23	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	1:2
21.04.14	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	0:0
26.12.13	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	5:2
01.04.13	Worksop Town - Ilkeston	1:4

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