Match Info

1st Division - Round 12

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Middelfart Stadium (Middelfart)

Referee: Lykke M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Middelfart		Hillerød

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.8	1.91
	3.5	3.5	1.9
	3.45	3.7	1.96
	2.71	3.76	2.44
	2.78	3.41	2.40	Watch
	3.59	3.58	1.94	Watch
	3.35	3.55	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.43)	3.61 ↓ (3.94)	2.07 ↑ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Middelfart
28.8%

Draw
25.9%

Hillerød
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

23.9%

48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Middelfart - Hillerød Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radza C. (G) 7. Linnet J. (C) 17. Greve M. 4. Vetter J. 2. Reese S. 14. Barholt N. 27. Hansen M. 11. Villemoes J. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 9. Boesen M. 10. Akale A.	1. Kappenberger A. (C) 3. Allen C. 18. Lauritsen O. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 2. Moller R. 12. Schmidt N. 11. Mouritz M. 10. Kallsberg P. 22. Jalaei S. 24. Dedes V. 17. Justinussen A.
Substitutes
22. Boyum Johansen C. 8. Bytyqi B. 77. Jensen L. 6. Kakeeto R. 3. Kristensen M. 88. Nyborg W. (G) 25. Pedersen S. 18. Wielzen J. 5. Zjajo B.	34. Alicino A. 8. Arndal T. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 6. Due Grandt M. 21. Enghardt K. 19. Lyshoj J. 14. Opoku S. 16. Toftegaard H.
Coaches
Engstrom K.	Lonstrup C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Akale A. ⚽, Vetter J. (A),
35', 1 - 1, Mouritz M. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', Vetter J. 🟨,
65', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ⚽,
67', Kallsberg P. ↓, Arndal T. ↑,
68', Boesen M. ↓, Pedersen S. ↑,
68', Barholt N. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
73', Dedes V. ↓, Enghardt K. ↑,
73', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
80', Vetter J. ↓, Wielzen J. ↑,
82', Jalaei S. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
86', Villemoes J. ↓, Boyum Johansen C. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).

Middelfart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hillerød could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
27.09.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Middelfart	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Middelfart - Kolding IF	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Aalborg BK - Middelfart	4:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.09.25	Middelfart - Silkeborg IF	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.08.25	Middelfart - Lyngby BK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWLLT
- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
24.09.25	Hillerød - AGF Aarhus	1:2 ✺
Danish 1 Division
20.09.25	Hvidovre - Hillerød	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Hillerød - Esbjerg	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Kolding IF - Hillerød	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
19.07.25	Hillerød - Middelfart	2:1
Danish 2 Division
09.04.22	Hillerød - Middelfart	2:0
25.09.21	Middelfart - Hillerød	1:3
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
23.03.19	Middelfart - Hillerød	2:2
04.08.18	Hillerød - Middelfart	1:1

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