The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough U21 28.4%
Draw 21.8%
Aston Villa U21 49.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
22.2%
46.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.6%
21.3%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Aston Villa U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough U21 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (-1%)
Middlesbrough U21 - Aston Villa U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Connor S. (G) 10. Bakre H. 8. Cartwright F. 7. Forss M. 6. Fry D. 2. Gitau G. 5. Hunt H. 11. Lennon C. 9. Matthews A. 4. McCabe L. 3. McCormick G. (C)
1. Zych O. (G) 6. Alcock T. (C) 4. Bogarde L. 8. Borland A. 11. Broggio B. 9. Moore K. 3. Patterson T. 2. Rowe T. 5. Swinkels S. 10. Taylor K. 7. Young K.
Substitutes
21. Fisher N. (G) 15. Nkrumah D. 16. Simpson N. 12. Tawiah J. 14. Traore Y.
12. Amundsen-Day E. 16. Burrowes B. 14. Hemmings G. 15. Jimoh J. 13. Lewis S. (G)
Coaches
Tinkler M.
Gombau J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
5', Matthews A. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Bakre H. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Bakre H. ⚽, McCormick G. (A),
27', 3 - 0, Matthews A. (Pen),
34', Bakre H. 🟨,
38', Gitau G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Broggio B. ↓, Jimoh J. ↑,
46', McCormick G. ↓, Tawiah J. ↑,
46', Fry D. ↓, Simpson N. ↑,
60', Taylor K. ↓, Burrowes B. ↑,
62', Forss M. ↓, Traore Y. ↑,
71', Borland A. ↓, Hemmings G. ↑,
72', 4 - 0, Bakre H. ⚽, Cartwright F. (A),
75', Cartwright F. ↓, Nkrumah D. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Jimoh J. ⚽,
84', Connor S. 🟨,
90+2', 4 - 2, Jimoh J. ⚽, Hemmings G. (A),
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough U21 won 1.
Middlesbrough U21 is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Aston Villa U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Aston Villa U21 will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough U21 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8:14 (average 1.3:2.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.7:2.3).
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Connor S. (G) 
Forss M. 
Gitau G. 
Zych O. (G) 
Bogarde L. 
Borland A. 
Amundsen-Day E. 
Gombau J. 
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