The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 70.1%
Draw 17%
Aston Villa U21 12.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.4%
22.2%
17.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.5%
21.8%
17.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bolton Wanderers's performance.
Aston Villa U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa U21 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
71.4%
0%
28.6%
Bolton Wanderers - Aston Villa U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bolton will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Aston Villa U21 will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Hutchinson L. (G) 12. Dacres-Cogley J. 5. Santos R. 6. Johnston G. 41. Matheson L. 4. Thomason G. (C) 17. Lolos K. 28. Matete J. 27. Williams R. 45. McAtee J. 19. Collins A.
48. Zych O. (C) 75. Simpson E. 53. Amundsen-Day E. 92. Routh L. 81. Fortes R. 83. Burrowes B. 54. Borland A. 67. Barnes M. 85. Jenner M. 84. Lynskey A. 87. Mulley T.
Substitutes
56. Abimbola D. 9. Adeboyejo V. 42. Dallimore J. (G) 22. Dempsey K. 52. Inwood S. 55. Lewis C. 48. Sharples Ahmed S.
89. Bloomfield T. 88. Brannigan C. 86. Carroll T. 76. I-Lani E. 65. Lewis S. (G) 91. Quinn K. 74. Timson N.
Coaches
Evatt I.
Gombau J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Mulley T. ⚽, Burrowes B. (A),
40', Zych O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Barnes M. 🟨,
57', Lynskey A. ↓, I-Lani E. ↑,
63', Lolos K. ↓, Adeboyejo V. ↑,
65', Jenner M. ↓, Brannigan C. ↑,
71', Barnes M. ↓, Quinn K. ↑,
75', Matete J. ↓, Dempsey K. ↑,
75', Williams R. ↓, Inwood S. ↑,
77', Amundsen-Day E. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Adeboyejo V. ⚽, Collins A. (A),
83', Johnston G. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Borland A. (Pen),
1, Collins A. (Pen),
2, Amundsen-Day E. (Pen),
2, Dempsey K. (Pen),
3, Brannigan C. (Pen),
3, Thomason G. (Pen),
4, Burrowes B. (Pen),
Preview
Bolton is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Aston Villa U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Bolton is the unquestionable favorite.