Match Info

Superliga - Round 12

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MCH Arena (Herning) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kehlet J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	14:00	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X


	Midtjylland		Lyngby BK

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.25	6.25	Watch
	1.41	5.00	6.25
	1.39	4.7	7.2
	1.4	5.51	7.27
	1.42	5.1	6.5	Watch
	1.36	5.4	7.1
	1.4	4.95	6.5	Watch
	1.4	5	6.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)	5.11 ↑ (4.84)	6.68 ↓ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
67.5%

Draw
18.4%

Lyngby BK
14.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.5%

13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6%

18.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Lyngby BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Midtjylland - Lyngby BK Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Midtjylland (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Midtjylland will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midtjylland (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bakker N. (G) 4. Diao O. 2. Maxso A. 22. Sorensen M. B. 5. Kristensen R. (C) 8. Billing P. 29. Watjen K. 55. Bak V. 27. Johannesen S. 90. Etim F. 10. Cho Gue-Sung	31. Kochen D. (G) 2. Buur O. 30. Fischer M. 12. Aronsson D. 25. Tytens R. 19. Fraulo G. 8. Hebo M. (C) 18. Thomasen J. 14. Sandgrav L. 26. Gytkjaer F. 7. Colyn S.
Substitutes
15. Beni D. 30. Ejeheri O. (G) 38. Emefile J. 20. Hong Hyun-Seok 18. Iheanacho S. 98. Martinez D. 39. Okuaghare J. 9. Rajovic M. 17. Uhre M.	1. Aegidius J. (G) 4. Allen C. 35. Anderson M. 5. Hojer O. 6. Kristjansson D. F. 22. Ngabo S. 16. Sertdemir Z. 17. Steindorsson W.
Coaches
Tullberg M.	Jespersen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Cho Gue-Sung ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Colyn S. ⚽, Sandgrav L. (A),
45+1', Maxso A. 🟨,
45+4', 2 - 1, Billing P. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Bak V. ↓, Emefile J. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Etim F. ⚽, Watjen K. (A),
59', Cho Gue-Sung ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
72', Gytkjaer F. ↓, Anderson M. ↑,
72', Colyn S. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
73', Etim F. ↓, Beni D. ↑,
73', Billing P. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
84', Hebo M. ↓, Sertdemir Z. ↑,
84', Thomasen J. ↓, Hojer O. ↑,
86', Watjen K. ↓, Okuaghare J. ↑,
89', 3 - 2, Fraulo G. ⚽,
90', Fraulo G. ↓, Ngabo S. ↑,

Preview

A clear contrast in standings as an upper-tier team meets a relegation-threatened side (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 12th in the Superliga (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Lyngby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

The betting markets point to Midtjylland as the clear and undisputed favorite.

Confirmed absences for Midtjylland: Castillo D. (Inactive) Erlic M. (Foot Injury) Gogorza M. (Hip Injury) Jensen M. (Foot Injury) Junior Brumado (Knee Injury) Olafsson E. (Illness).

Confirmed absences for Lyngby: Snorre O. (Knee Injury) Thorvaldsson I. (Yellow Cards).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Midtjylland has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:27 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Midtjylland against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:9 goals (averaging 1.1:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Midtjylland	12	8	4	0	24:13	11	28
11	Lyngby	12	1	5	6	17:27	-10	8

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Midtjylland: 46.17% Lyngby: 0.24%

Last Results with these Odds

Midtjylland - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.86%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Midtjylland - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
19.10.26	Viborg - Midtjylland	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Egnatia Rrogozhinë - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Danish Superliga
11.10.26	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWTWT
- Lyngby BK
Danish Superliga
18.10.26	Lyngby BK - Nordsjælland	3:3 ✺
11.10.26	Brøndby - Lyngby BK	5:2 ✺
18.09.26	Lyngby BK - Silkeborg IF	0:4 ✺
13.09.26	Lyngby BK - SønderjyskE	1:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
09.09.26	VSK Aarhus - Lyngby BK	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Superliga
16.08.26	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:1
16.02.25	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	1:0
16.08.24	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	1:2
27.10.23	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	2:1
06.08.23	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	4:1
07.05.23	Lyngby BK - Midtjylland	2:1
10.04.23	Midtjylland - Lyngby BK	1:0

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