Match Info

Superliga - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: MCH Arena (Herning) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Karlsen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	18:00	SportKlub 6
Denmark	18:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	19:00	Viaplay
Norway	18:00	Viaplay
Serbia	18:00	Arena Sport 8
Sweden	18:00	Viaplay
Ukraine	19:00	Sport 2
International	16:00	Sport 2 Baltic


	Midtjylland		Copenhagen

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.80	3.40	2.35
	2.5	3.45	2.65
	2.6	3.65	2.68
	2.53	3.63	2.63	Watch
	2.5	3.55	2.6
	2.49	3.55	2.55	Watch
	2.47	3.55	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.57)	3.54 ↓ (3.67)	2.57 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Midtjylland
36.9%

Draw
26.6%

Copenhagen
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.8%

25.7%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.3%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Copenhagen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Copenhagen than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Midtjylland - Copenhagen Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Copenhagen will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bakker N. (G) 4. Diao O. 2. Maxso A. 22. Sorensen M. B. (C) 29. Watjen K. 8. Billing P. 21. Castillo D. 19. Bravo P. 98. Martinez D. 18. Iheanacho S. 90. Etim F.	1. Ramaj D. (G) 2. Beijmo F. 4. Sorensen A. 6. Markgraf A. 15. Lopez M. 36. Clem W. 27. Delaney T. (C) 33. Kral A. 10. Elyounoussi M. 16. Robert 14. Cornelius A.
Substitutes
15. Beni D. 10. Cho Gue-Sung 30. Ejeheri O. (G) 38. Emefile J. 20. Hong Hyun-Seok 27. Johannesen S. 39. Okuaghare J. 9. Rajovic M. 17. Uhre M.	39. Dadason V. 13. Huescas R. 12. Maseko T. 24. Meling B. 34. Nasnas M. 28. Nemeth H. 31. Runarsson R. A. (G) 20. Suzuki J. 44. Vianney Ndjee G.
Coaches
Tullberg M.	Svensson B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Etim F. ⚽, Billing P. (A),
45+3', Lopez M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Martinez D. ↓, Johannesen S. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Elyounoussi M. (Penalty Awarded),
54', Watjen K. ↓, Hong Hyun-Seok ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Castillo D. ⚽, Etim F. (A),
64', Delaney T. 🟨,
74', Delaney T. ↓, Maseko T. ↑,
74', Cornelius A. ↓, Dadason V. ↑,
78', Iheanacho S. ↓, Emefile J. ↑,
78', Castillo D. ↓, Cho Gue-Sung ↑,
81', Lopez M. ↓, Meling B. ↑,
88', Elyounoussi M. ↓, Vianney Ndjee G. ↑,
88', Kral A. ↓, Nasnas M. ↑,
90', Etim F. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
90+1', Clem W. 🟨,
90+2', Maxso A. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: ) and 1st in the Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Midtjylland won 3.

Both teams look competitive and well-prepared heading into this encounter.

Copenhagen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Copenhagen has had a run of games away from home.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

Confirmed absences for Midtjylland: Beni D. (Inactive) Diao O. (Foot Injury) Erlic M. (Foot Injury) Gogorza M. (Hip Injury) Hong Hyun-Seok (Knock) Junior Brumado (Knee Injury) Kristensen R. (Yellow Cards) Ndiaye A. (Red Card) Sorensen M. B. (Knock).

Confirmed absences for Copenhagen: Mattsson M. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Midtjylland has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:20 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Midtjylland against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 18:9 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Midtjylland	12	8	4	0	24:13	11	28
2	FC Copenhagen	12	8	2	2	26:12	14	26

Outrights of Danish Superliga for now

Midtjylland: 45.55% FC Copenhagen: 39.07%

Last Results with these Odds

Midtjylland - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 36.76%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Copenhagen - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.49%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Midtjylland
Danish Superliga
19.09.26	OB Odense - Midtjylland	1:1 ✺
14.09.26	Midtjylland - Brøndby	4:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
10.09.26	Sundby - Midtjylland	0:7 ✺
Danish Superliga
07.09.26	Midtjylland - Nordsjælland	2:2 ✺
02.09.26	AGF Aarhus - Midtjylland	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWWTW
- FC Copenhagen
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Hamburger SV - Copenhagen	2:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
20.09.26	Brøndby - Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
15.09.26	Skovshoved - Copenhagen	0:3 ✺
Danish Superliga
11.09.26	Copenhagen - Horsens	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	OB Odense - Copenhagen	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Landspokal Cup
14.05.26	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	0:1
Danish Superliga
08.02.26	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	2:1
05.10.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:1
11.05.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:1
17.04.25	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	4:2
23.02.25	Copenhagen - Midtjylland	1:0
14.09.24	Midtjylland - Copenhagen	2:1

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