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Current Win Probability
Miedź Legnica 44.7%
Draw 26.2%
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała 29.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
27.2%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
29.2%
23.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miedź Legnica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Podbeskidzie will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 35.2% – 92%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Sydorenko D. (G) 30. Jovicic M. 3. Grudzinski M. (C) 78. Mazur M. 7. Bochnak M. 8. Serafin J. 80. Petrovic Z. 49. Szymoniak O. 98. Antonik K. 21. Stanclik D. 9. Fucak K.
1. Forenc K. (C) 2. Sochan K. 4. Biernat M. 22. Gach K. 7. Sitek M. 14. Urynowicz M. 26. Sewerzynski O. 98. Slomka W. 21. Kolanko K. 90. Klisiewicz L. 37. Tomczyk O.
Substitutes
18. Cordoba A. 28. Diallo B. 70. Hajda W. 17. Maliszewski I. 29. Michaleczko K. 77. Narozny K. (G) 99. Noiszewski K. 11. Norlin G. 27. Zur F.
99. Branczyk S. (G) 11. Hirosawa T. 6. Iwanczyk A. 17. Majsterek J. 84. Martosz B. 10. Pietraszkiewicz D. 9. Shikavka Y. 61. Smolinski K. 8. Takac D.
Coaches
Niedzwiedz J.
Wlodarski M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Szymoniak O. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Urynowicz M. ⚽, Tomczyk O. (A),
36', Jovicic M. 🟨,
43', Gach K. 🟨,
43', Petrovic Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Slomka W. ↓, Takac D. ↑,
63', Kolanko K. ↓, Hirosawa T. ↑,
70', Fucak K. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
70', Szymoniak O. ↓, Maliszewski I. ↑,
72', Tomczyk O. ↓, Shikavka Y. ↑,
72', Urynowicz M. ↓, Iwanczyk A. ↑,
77', Bochnak M. ↓, Norlin G. ↑,
77', Serafin J. ↓, Hajda W. ↑,
79', Sewerzynski O. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
84', Petrovic Z. ↓, Noiszewski K. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Mazur M. ⚽, Cordoba A. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2.
Miedź has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Podbeskidzie is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Miedź may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Miedź has had a series of away games.
Miedź is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:15. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Miedź won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 2.3:1.7).
Outrights of Polish Division 1 for now
Legnica: 4.51% Podbeskidzie: 0.41%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Legnica
9
4
2
3
14:9
5
14
17
Podbeskidzie
9
0
8
1
12:14
-2
8
Last Results with these Odds
Miedź Legnica - the odds 1.92 are the expected chance of winning is 47.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Poland
Usa
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Sydorenko D. (G) 
Jovicic M. 
Grudzinski M. (C) 
Petrovic Z. 
Fucak K. 
Cordoba A. 
Diallo B. 
Norlin G. 
Hirosawa T. 
Shikavka Y. 
Takac D. 
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