Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 2

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion im. Orła Białego (Legnica)

Referee: Kawalko G. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Miedź Legnica		Stal Stalowa Wola

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4.33
	1.7	3.4	4.6
	1.72	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.74	3.64	5
	1.74	3.62	4.67	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.58	4.74	Watch
	1.67	3.5	4.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.59)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	4.62 ↑ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Miedź Legnica
54.1%

Draw
25.9%

Stal Stalowa Wola
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

24.5%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

22.5%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Miedź Legnica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

The chances for Stal Stalowa Wola have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miedź Legnica than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Miedź Legnica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	5.6%	16.7%

Miedź Legnica - Stal Stalowa Wola Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Miedź will win (votes: 14 - 77.8%). Stal Stalowa Wola will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Miedź: 58.6% – 97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Wrabel J. (G) 17. Kostka M. 25. Mijuskovic N. (C) 99. Kwiecien B. 26. Hartherz F. 14. Drygas K. 22. Kaczmarski I. 6. Podgorski J. 10. Mioc B. 98. Antonik K. 9. Bogacz W.	33. Smylek M. (G) 22. Banach J. 55. Oko D. 4. Furtak L. 26. Zaucha P. 27. Pchelka C. 8. Soszynski L. (C) 24. Urban D. 20. Pioterczak B. 30. Wojtkowski K. 77. Chelmecki K.
Substitutes
31. Abramowicz M. (G) 8. Chuca 11. Drzazga K. 3. Grudzinski M. 87. Hoogenhout R. 59. Lehaire M. 95. Mansfeld M. 49. Szymoniak O. 20. Tront D.	7. Gorski J. 10. Imiela A. . Jonczy D. 87. Kowalski J. 9. Lacki D. 16. Lelek K. 21. Mydlarz M. 11. Strozik S. 1. Wilk A. (G)
Coaches
Mamrot I.	Pietrzykowski I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Bogacz W. ⚽, Hartherz F. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Bogacz W. ⚽, Drygas K. (A),
31', Drygas K. 🟨,
35', Wojtkowski K. 🟨,
38', 3 - 0, Kaczmarski I. ⚽, Antonik K. (A),
45', Oko D. ↓, Jonczy D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Soszynski L. ↓, Imiela A. ↑,
46', Pioterczak B. ↓, Strozik S. ↑,
48', Antonik K. 🟨,
54', Banach J. ↓, Kowalski J. ↑,
61', 4 - 0, Kaczmarski I. ⚽, Mioc B. (A),
63', Drygas K. ↓, Lehaire M. ↑,
63', Antonik K. ↓, Drzazga K. ↑,
63', Bogacz W. ↓, Mansfeld M. ↑,
71', Hartherz F. ↓, Grudzinski M. ↑,
75', 4 - 1, Jonczy D. ⚽, Imiela A. (A),
76', Wojtkowski K. ↓, Gorski J. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Gorski J. ⚽,
86', Mioc B. ↓, Chuca ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Miedź could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Miedź have a series of guest games.

In this match Miedź is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Miedź Legnica
Polish Division 1
21.07.24	GKS Tychy - Miedź Legnica	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.24	Miedź Legnica - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:1 ✺
06.07.24	Chrobry Głogów - Miedź Legnica	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Jagiellonia Białystok - Miedź Legnica	3:1 ✺
22.06.24	Raków Częstochowa - Miedź Legnica	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWL?
- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
20.07.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Górnik Łęczna	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Broń Radom	3:0 ✺
13.07.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2 ✺
29.06.24	Resovia Rzeszów - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1 ✺
Polish Division 2
01.06.24	KKS Kalisz - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLLW

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