Match Info

Division 1 - Round 25

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola (Stalowa Wola)

Referee: Rzucidlo P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Stal Stalowa Wola		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.3	1.75
	4.1	3.4	1.78
	3.95	3.45	1.89	Watch
	4.26	3.46	1.85	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.17	3.54	1.79
	3.95	3.45	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (4)	3.41 ↑ (3.4)	1.83 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Stalowa Wola
22.6%

Draw
27%

Termalica Nieciecza
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

27.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.4%

26.4%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Stalowa Wola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Stalowa Wola than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Piekutowski M. (G) 55. Oko D. 5. Mehremic A. 4. Furtak L. (C) 2. Kukulowicz B. 10. Walski M. 7. Ibe-Torti K. 24. Urban D. 23. Svec J. 8. Thiago 11. Strozik S.	1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 23. Spendlhofer L. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 17. Zaviyskyi T. 39. Biniek D. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 86. Strzalek I. 6. Wolski M. 10. Karasek K. 25. Zapolnik K.
Substitutes
22. Banach J. 77. Bida B. 19. Fedejko I. 39. Jonathan Junior 21. Mydlarz M. 20. Pioterczak B. 33. Smylek M. (G) 18. Surzyn M. 26. Zaucha P.	7. Fassbender M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 2. Kopacz B. 13. Kubica K. 5. Matyjewicz W. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 80. Rozycki J. 12. Wrobel J.
Coaches
Jarosz M.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Urban D. ⚽, Kukulowicz B. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Ambrosiewicz M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Walski M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Biniek D. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
46', Isik G. ↓, Kopacz B. ↑,
53', Mehremic A. 🟨,
59', Fassbender M. 🟨,
61', Zaviyskyi T. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
62', 3 - 1, Kukulowicz B. ⚽, Ibe-Torti K. (A),
63', Urban D. 🟨,
69', Strozik S. ↓, Jonathan Junior ↑,
69', Thiago ↓, Mydlarz M. ↑,
69', Urban D. ↓, Zaucha P. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Zapolnik K. ⚽,
80', Spendlhofer L. ↓, Kubica K. ↑,
80', Svec J. ↓, Bida B. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Zapolnik K. ⚽, Kopacz B. (A),
85', Oko D. ↓, Banach J. ↑,
85', Wolski M. ↓, Wrobel J. ↑,
87', Ambrosiewicz M. 🟨,
87', Niepsuj D. 🟨,
90+6', Kubica K. 🟨,

Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

Termalica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Termalica is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stal Stalowa Wola won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:10 (average 0.6:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Stal Stalowa Wola won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:4 (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Stal Stalowa Wola
Polish Division 1
16.03.25	Pogoń Siedlce - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Odra Opole	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Chrobry Głogów - Stal Stalowa Wola	2:0 ✺
24.02.25	Stal Stalowa Wola - Warta Poznań	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TTLTT
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
15.03.25	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Tychy	2:1 ✺
10.03.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	Ruch Chorzów - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Odra Opole - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
01.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:0
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2
25.01.20	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:2
22.06.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Stal Stalowa Wola	3:1
11.02.15	Stal Stalowa Wola - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2

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