Match Info

KENYA: Super League - Round 28

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Migori Youth		MOFA

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.27	2.97	3.3
	2.23	2.92	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.73)	2.95 ↑ (2.83)	3.28 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Migori Youth
40.8%

Draw
31.2%

MOFA
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

32.1%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

31.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Migori Youth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Migori Youth's performance.

MOFA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and MOFA might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Migori Youth than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Migori Youth that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MOFA than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MOFA could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, Bayano P. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 15 and 8).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

MOFA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Migori Youth have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Migori Youth won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Migori Youth FC
Kenyan Super League
09.03.25	Mombasa Stars - Migori Youth	1:2 ✺
26.02.25	MCF - Migori Youth	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	Naivas - Migori Youth	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Nairobi United - Migori Youth	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Migori Youth - Naivas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WLWLT
- MOFA FC
Kenyan Super League
12.03.25	MOFA - APS Bomet	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Luanda Villa - MOFA	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	MOFA - Nzoia United	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	MOFA - Assad	MOFA awarded ✺
18.01.25	Kibera Black Stars - MOFA	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLT?T

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
17.11.24	MOFA - Migori Youth	1:2

Migori Youth - MOFA: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide