Match Info

Date: 26 September 2021, Sunday


	Mikkelin Palloilijat		MuSa

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.8	4
	1.71	3.6	4
	1.7	3.8	4.25
	1.81	3.65	3.8
	1.88	3.85	4.1
	1.8	3.5	4
	1.8	3.82	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.74)	3.72 ↓ (3.8)	4.01 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mikkelin Palloilijat
51.9%

Draw
25%

MuSa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

24.3%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

16.4%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mikkelin Palloilijat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

MuSa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mikkelin Palloilijat than the current prediction. (-16.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mikkelin Palloilijat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MuSa than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that MuSa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

In this match Mikkelin Palloilijat is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mikkelin Palloilijat won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Mikkelin Palloilijat won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mikkelin Palloilijat
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.21	PK-35 Vantaa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	3:1 ✺
15.09.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	0:0 ✺
11.09.21	FF Jaro - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2 ✺
01.09.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - PK-35 Vantaa	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	JIPPO - Mikkelin Palloilijat	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTTL
- Musan Salama
Finnish Ykkonen
19.09.21	MuSa - FF Jaro	1:5 ✺
15.09.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	0:0 ✺
10.09.21	TPS - MuSa	3:0 ✺
28.08.21	MuSa - KPV Kokkola	1:0 ✺
22.08.21	VPS Vaasa - MuSa	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
15.09.21	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	0:0
04.07.21	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	2:2
26.09.20	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	1:1
02.08.20	Mikkelin Palloilijat - MuSa	1:2
Finnish Cup
07.02.20	MuSa - Mikkelin Palloilijat	0:3

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