Match Info

Serie A Women - Round 21

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara (Milan)

Referee: Cappai E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	FOX One, Fox Soccer Plus


	Milan		Parma

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.55	4.55
	1.65	3.72	4.56
	1.61	4.2	4.73	Watch
	1.65	3.4	4.5
	1.61	3.66	4.83	Watch
	1.73	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.71)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	4.56 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milan
55.3%

Draw
24.8%

Parma
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Milan - Parma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Giuliani L. (G) 2. Koivisto E. 25. De Sanders K. 20. Soffia A. 21. Keijzer M. 8. Arrigoni G. 12. Mascarello M. 11. Grimshaw C. (C) 15. Stokic S. 99. Dompig C. 7. Kyvag T.	22. Copetti M. (G) 14. Minuscoli C. 25. Ambrosi C. (C) 73. Cox D. 7. Rabot I. 27. Gueguen M. 29. Uffren M. 18. Dominguez L. 37. Prugna C. 17. Distefano G. 13. Kerr A.
Substitutes
32. Babb S. (G) 5. Cernoia V. 39. Donolato V. 13. Estevez S. (G) 80. Kamczyk E. 18. Renzotti M. 17. Sesay M. 6. Sorelli N. 24. Tornaghi L. (G) 10. van Dooren K.	46. Benedetti V. 24. Bou B. 11. Cardona M. 12. Ceasar C. (G) 23. Cissoko H. 1. Fabiano F. (G) 5. Kajan Z. 32. Leskinen D. 6. Masu C. 8. Pondini G. 31. Redondo C. 19. Zamanian A.
Coaches
Bakker S.	Valenti G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Arrigoni G. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Uffren M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Distefano G. ↓, Kajan Z. ↑,
56', Prugna C. 🟨,
58', Dompig C. ↓, Kamczyk E. ↑,
58', Stokic S. ↓, Renzotti M. ↑,
64', Cox D. ↓, Cissoko H. ↑,
66', 2 - 1, Grimshaw C. ⚽, Koivisto E. (A),
68', Prugna C. ↓, Zamanian A. ↑,
68', Rabot I. ↓, Cardona M. ↑,
79', Kerr A. ↓, Redondo C. ↑,
88', Arrigoni G. ↓, Cernoia V. ↑,
90', 3 - 1, Grimshaw C. ⚽, Kyvag T. (A),
90+1', Kyvag T. ↓, Sesay M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 and 10).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Parma may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Milan is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Milan won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Milan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of Italian Serie A Women for now

AC Milan W: 3.4% Parma W: 0.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AC Milan W	2	1	0	1	3:5	-2	3
9	Parma W	2	0	1	1	1:2	-1	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Milan Women
Italian Serie A Women
02.05.26	Inter Milan - Milan	1:0 ✺
25.04.26	Milan - Napoli	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sassuolo - Milan	0:3 ✺
22.03.26	Milan - Como	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Juventus - Milan	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWTW
- Parma Women
Italian Serie A Women
03.05.26	Parma - Lazio	1:3 ✺
25.04.26	Como - Parma	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Parma - Ternana	2:0 ✺
22.03.26	Fiorentina - Parma	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Parma - Genoa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A Women
17.01.26	Parma - Milan	0:0
15.01.23	Milan - Parma	2:0
24.09.22	Parma - Milan	0:4

Milan - Parma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide