Match Info

Super Liga - Round 12

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Complexul Sportiv Raional (Orhei) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Moldova	19:00	Liga TV
Usa	12:00	SportsEngine Play


	Milsami Orhei		Sheriff Tiraspol

	1	X	2
	4.30	3.25	1.72	Watch
	4.27	3.36	1.72
	4.7	3.5	1.68	Watch
	4.20	3.30	1.70
	4.33	3.71	1.72
	4.20	3.30	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.33 ↓ (5.12)	3.4 ↓ (3.8)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Milsami Orhei
20.8%

Draw
26.5%

Sheriff Tiraspol
52.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

24.1%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

17.7%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Milsami Orhei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sheriff Tiraspol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sheriff Tiraspol might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Milsami Orhei than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Dujmovic F. (G) 4. Angelov A. 29. Asmelash H. 11. Chele S. 22. Ghecev M. 10. Ginsari R. 14. Odubia P. 27. Platica S. 2. Posmac V. 34. Renato 15. Sirbu D.	1. Timbur E. (G) 19. Asprilla Moreno J. 27. Cozma V. 35. Fomba B. 24. Forov D. 10. Fratea V. 26. Klas D. 99. Kone S. 29. Magassouba S. 37. Modelo J. 77. Pineda J.
Substitutes
17. Bulmaga L. 1. Ciochina C. 9. Dudziak K. 20. Igor Souza 21. Izountouemoi S. 13. Luchita V. 25. Sejdiu A. 7. Silcenco C. 30. Takyi F. 35. Vornic D. (G)	8. Botan D. 28. Cebotari N. (G) 15. Ciss B. 33. Corotcov M. 90. Costin V. 21. Dyulgerov I. (G) 30. Egupov A. 42. Jaures-Ulrich L. 9. Kalabatama K. 76. Pergjoni A. 11. Sapata

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', 🟨,
14', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, Fomba B. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
90', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Liga (Championship Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Milsami won 1.

Milsami has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sheriff is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Sheriff is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Milsami won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:30. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Milsami won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.7:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Sheriff Tiraspol ✔	16	11	4	1	41:12	29	37
6	Milsami	16	4	7	5	18:23	-5	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Milsami Orhei
Moldovan Super Liga
30.08.26	Dacia Buiucani - Milsami Orhei	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Milsami Orhei - Petrocub-Hîncești	1:0 ✺
16.08.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Milsami Orhei	4:2 ✺
01.08.26	Milsami Orhei - Real Sireți	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 TWLTT
- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
05.09.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Petrocub-Hîncești	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Zimbru Chişinău - Sheriff Tiraspol	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Real Sireți - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	St. Gallen - Sheriff Tiraspol	5:1 ✺
06.08.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - St. Gallen	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Moldovan Super Liga
26.07.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	0:0
17.05.26	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:0
11.04.26	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	3:1
26.10.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:0
24.08.25	Sheriff Tiraspol - Milsami Orhei	1:1
05.07.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:2
Moldovan Cup
24.05.25	Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol	1:2

Milsami Orhei - Sheriff Tiraspol