Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Minas BTC		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.5
	5.25	4.2	1.45
	5.2	3.95	1.5
	5.89	3.75	1.51
	5.5	4.2	1.44
	5.8	4.25	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (6.7)	4.03 ↓ (4.5)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minas BTC
16.4%

Draw
22.5%

Ferroviária
61.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.6%

20.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

17.2%

77.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minas BTC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ferroviária has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ferroviária might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minas BTC than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+16.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Minas BTC - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)).

MBTC is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

MBTC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ferroviária is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches MBTC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams MBTC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minas Brasília Tênis Clube
Brasileiro Women
02.05.21	Minas BTC - Cruzeiro	1:3 ✺
29.04.21	Grêmio Porto Alegrense - Minas BTC	2:0 ✺
26.04.21	Minas BTC - Santos	2:2 ✺
22.04.21	Minas BTC - São José dos Campos	0:1 ✺
18.04.21	Flamengo - Minas BTC	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLTLT
- Ferroviária Women
Brasileiro Women
08.05.21	Ferroviária - Kindermann-Avaí	1:0 ✺
01.05.21	Internacional - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
28.04.21	Bahia - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
25.04.21	Ferroviária - Real Brasilia	3:1 ✺
21.04.21	Ferroviária - Corinthians	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
13.02.20	Minas BTC - Ferroviária	1:2
15.05.19	Ferroviária - Minas BTC	1:0

Minas BTC - Ferroviária

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Minas BTC - Ferroviária Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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