Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 13

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Joia da Princesa (Feira de Santana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV 3


	Bahia		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.5	1.66
	4.45	3.4	1.68
	4.72	3.46	1.77	Watch
	4.53	3.38	1.72
	4.45	3.4	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.75)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	1.7 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bahia
20.1%

Draw
26.5%

Ferroviária
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

26.9%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Bahia - Ferroviária Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Yanne (G) 27. Ary 13. Camila Santos 9. Gica 96. Ju Oliveira 10. Luana Rodrigues 4. Nalon N. 7. Rhaizza 77. Suelen 64. Tchula (C) 18. Vilma	1. Luciana (G) 74. Andressa Pereira (C) 15. Cris 7. Darlene 8. Duda 25. Fatima Dutra 4. Luana 10. Micaelly 14. Millene 16. Mylena Carioca 18. Rafa Soares
Substitutes
3. Aila 16. Barbosa C. 24. Carballo W. 28. Cassia 2. Dan 33. Dida (G) 5. Gomez A. 88. Helo 6. India 14. Kaiuska 1. Nagila (G) 70. Thais Prado	12. Amanda Coimbra (G) 6. Barrinha 20. Camila 24. Catyellen 17. Julia Beatriz 2. Kati 11. Mariana Santos 5. Nicoly 22. Raquel 9. Vendito

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Rhaizza ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Darlene ⚽,
26', 2 - 1, Rhaizza ⚽,
28', Andressa Pereira ↓, Kati ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Luana Rodrigues ↓, Cassia ↑,
56', Gica ↓, Carballo W. ↑,
60', 3 - 1, Rhaizza ⚽,
65', Cris ↓, Vendito ↑,
65', Millene ↓, Raquel ↑,
67', Suelen ↓, Dan ↑,
67', Ary ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
67', Yanne 🟨,
72', Gomez A. 🟨,
80', Carballo W. 🟨,
82', Micaelly ↓, Julia Beatriz ↑,
82', Mylena Carioca ↓, Mariana Santos ↑,
83', Rafa Soares 🟨,
83', Rhaizza ↓, Helo ↑,
89', Fatima Dutra 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+7', Carballo W. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Ferroviária is Qualified for Brasileiro Women (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bahia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ferroviária is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Bahia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
22.05.25	Sport Recife - Bahia	0:2 ✺
18.05.25	Bahia - São Paulo	1:2 ✺
11.05.25	Cruzeiro - Bahia	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Corinthians - Bahia	5:1 ✺
01.05.25	Bahia - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLLW
- Ferroviária Women
Brazilian Paulista Women
05.06.25	Ferroviária - Santos	1:1 ✺
Brasileiro Women
21.05.25	Ferroviária - Juventude	2:0 ✺
17.05.25	Cruzeiro - Ferroviária	3:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista Women
14.05.25	Palmeiras - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Brasileiro Women
11.05.25	Ferroviária - Corinthians	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro Women
02.04.23	Ferroviária - Bahia	3:0
28.04.21	Bahia - Ferroviária	0:1

Bahia - Ferroviária: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide