Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA PREMIER SERIE A - ROUND 7

Date: 25 September 2023, Monday


	Mineros de Fresnillo		Gavilanes de Matamoros

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.1	2.31
	2.75	3.1	2.35
	2.66	3.34	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↓ (3.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.37)	2.34 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mineros de Fresnillo
32.6%

Draw
28.6%

Gavilanes de Matamoros
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

25.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mineros de Fresnillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mineros de Fresnillo's performance.

Gavilanes de Matamoros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gavilanes de Matamoros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mineros de Fresnillo than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mineros de Fresnillo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gavilanes de Matamoros than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gavilanes de Matamoros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 13 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Mineros de Fresnillo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gavilanes de Matamoros is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gavilanes de Matamoros will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Mineros de Fresnillo won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mineros de Fresnillo
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.09.23	Chihuahua - Mineros de Fresnillo	2:0 ✺
09.09.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Orgullo Reynosa	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Real Apodaca	4:2 ✺
18.08.23	Calor de San Pedro - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:1 ✺
12.08.23	Mineros de Fresnillo - Saltillo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWTT
- Gavilanes de Matamoros
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Leones Negros 2	3:0 ✺
09.09.23	Tritones Vallarta - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1 ✺
02.09.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Colima	3:0 ✺
25.08.23	Tecos FC - Gavilanes de Matamoros	2:3 ✺
19.08.23	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Correcaminos UAT 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
29.01.22	Gavilanes de Matamoros - Mineros de Fresnillo	1:0
02.10.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	0:0
13.03.21	Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros	1:1

Mineros de Fresnillo - Gavilanes de Matamoros: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide