Match Info

CPL - Relegation Group

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Old Stadium (Phnom Penh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cambodia	Bayon TV


	Ministry of Interior		National Defense

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.8	1.44
				Watch
	4.44	4.83	1.52	Watch
	4.09	4.6	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.38 ↓ (5.71)	4.74 ↓ (5.8)	1.51 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ministry of Interior
20.7%

Draw
19.1%

National Defense
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.9%

15.7%

68.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

13.3%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ministry of Interior has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

National Defense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and National Defense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ministry of Interior than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for National Defense than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Ministry of Interior - National Defense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tin R. (G) 23. Bora S. 6. Chan S. 66. Dy P. 2. Khindaro I. 10. Kimheng S. 8. Math Y. (C) 11. Mon R. 19. Oudom K. 24. Ouk S. E. 91. Soun S.	31. Pich D. (G) 13. Kataoka S. 10. Kinoshita R. 27. Lim Raymond A. 8. Misawa T. (C) 14. Murata S. 23. Sreng S. 25. Thorng D. 2. Vinun O. 3. Vorn P. 4. Yang P.
Substitutes
27. Chanvibol D. 36. Chin V. 21. Hamisi M. 25. Hang P. 51. Kim C. (G) 34. Nhoem L. 33. Noy S. 17. Santana P. 12. Sri P. 72. Visal V.	28. Ahmath S. 99. Buth R. 32. Chhun M. 24. Khorn N. 19. Leang P. 1. Mat L. (G) 11. Nat S. 77. Nho M. 20. Tep F. 21. Try B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', Ouk S. E. 🟨,
35', 0 - 1, Kataoka S. ⚽, Vorn P. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mat L. ↓, Sreng S. ↑,
61', Khindaro I. ↓, Hamisi M. ↑,
68', Thorng D. 🟨,
75', Vorn P. ↓, Buth R. ↑,
75', Vinun O. ↓, Nat S. ↑,
83', Ouk S. E. ↓, Chanvibol D. ↑,
86', Bora S. ↓, Sri P. ↑,
86', Kimheng S. ↓, Noy S. ↑,
90+6', Yang P. 🟥,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ministry of Interior won 0.

Ministry of Interior has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

National Defense is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently National Defense have a series of home games.

In this match National Defense is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ministry of Interior won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 10:21 (average 1.3:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Ministry of Interior won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ministry of Interior FA
Cambodian CPL
08.03.25	Dangkor Senchey - Ministry of Interior	4:0 ✺
02.03.25	Ministry of Interior - Life FC	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Ministry of Interior - Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	2:4 ✺
15.02.25	Svay Rieng - Ministry of Interior	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Ministry of Interior - Naga World	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- National Defense Ministry FC
Cambodian CPL
08.03.25	National Defense - Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	0:3 ✺
Cambodian Hun Sen Cup
26.02.25	National Defense - Visakha	2:2 ✺
Cambodian CPL
22.02.25	Life FC - National Defense	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	National Defense - Naga World	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	National Defense - Kirivong Sok Sen Chey	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Cambodian CPL
11.01.25	Ministry of Interior - National Defense	0:3
22.09.24	National Defense - Ministry of Interior	3:1
31.07.21	Ministry of Interior - National Defense	1:1
11.07.20	National Defense - Ministry of Interior	3:1
27.07.19	National Defense - Ministry of Interior	3:2
21.04.19	Ministry of Interior - National Defense	2:4
19.08.18	National Defense - Ministry of Interior	3:1

Ministry of Interior - National Defense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide