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Current Win Probability
Minsk 52.2%
Draw 27.3%
Naftan 20.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.7%
26.2%
14.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61%
25.6%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Minsk's form might have worsened.
Naftan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naftan's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Minsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naftan than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naftan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Minsk - Naftan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Gutor A. (C) 66. Campo F. 3. Sokol A. 4. Park J. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 10. Varaksa V. 13. Aleksievich I. 29. Dubinets I. 23. Turich A. 80. Ksenofontov A. 17. Zubovich E.
13. Kharitonovich A. (C) 39. Fedorenko D. 5. Lebedev A. 3. Kostomarov N. 9. Yakovlev V. 6. Adamovich K. 42. Jonathan J. 97. Chernyavskiy V. 11. Pranovich I. 8. Latykhov D. 20. Zaynivov A.
Substitutes
6. Abena F. 49. Drachev Z. 16. Eshchenko S. (G) 19. Kuchinskiy K. 22. Makas A. 8. Migdalenok A. 79. Sviridenko I. 60. Volchok I. 15. Yatskevich V.
17. Aleksandrovich A. 21. Gurbanov M. 25. Matvey S. 71. Naumovich A. (G) 22. Pritsker M. 24. Seleznev I. 70. Thioune S.
Coaches
Chelyadinsky A.
Gerashchenko V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
12', Dikhtievskiy V. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
14', 1 - 0, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Turich A. (A),
45+1', 1 - 1, Latykhov D. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Yakovlev V. ↓, Thioune S. ↑,
46', Zubovich E. ↓, Makas A. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Turich A. (A),
67', Yatskevich V. ↓, Kuchinskiy K. ↑,
67', Varaksa V. ↓, Dieye M. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Makas A. ⚽, Dieye M. (A),
75', Latykhov D. ↓, Seleznev I. ↑,
75', Jonathan J. ↓, Aleksandrovich A. ↑,
78', Dubinets I. ↓, Drachev Z. ↑,
80', 4 - 2, Zaynivov A. ⚽, Thioune S. (A),
86', Fedorenko D. ↓, Gurbanov M. ↑,
86', Pranovich I. ↓, Matvey S. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 3.
Recent performances by Minsk have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Naftan's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Recently, Minsk has had a series of home games.
In this match, Minsk is the team to beat.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minsk won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 29:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Minsk won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.4:1).
Belarus
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Gutor A. (C) 
Campo F. 
Park J. 
Fedorenko D. 
Yakovlev V. 
Jonathan J. 
Abena F. 
Thioune S. 
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