Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 25

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Vitebsk CSK (Vitebsk)

Referee: Stetsurin S. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	ML Vitebsk		Minsk

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.71	8
	1.41	4.4	7.65
	1.38	4.2	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.77)	4.44 ↑ (3.2)	7.95 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ML Vitebsk
67.3%

Draw
21%

Minsk
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ML Vitebsk's performance.

Minsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Minsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-18.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ML Vitebsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minsk than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Minsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

ML Vitebsk - Minsk Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - ML Vitebsk (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: ML Vitebsk will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): ML Vitebsk will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. ML Vitebsk (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 23. Balanovich S. (C) 20. Volkov Z. 3. Baranok N. 66. Karpovich S. 27. Mesarovic A. 4. Abdullahi O. 14. Lisakovich R. 70. Juninho 22. Eldarushev A. 10. Nikiforenko O.	30. Gutor A. (C) 5. Zhevnerov E. 6. Park J. 3. Sokol A. 23. Turich A. 91. Nazarenko P. 2. Dikhtievskiy V. 29. Dubinets I. 17. Varaksa V. 10. Ikechukwu C. M. 81. Natama N.
Substitutes
88. Bozhko E. 55. Bykov N. 5. Chuduk A. 17. Galyata D. 77. Mazurich A. 7. Pukhov T. 8. Rusak S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G) 13. Zaleskiy A. 9. Zherdev G.	32. Abena F. 20. Bondarenko M. 47. Drachev Z. 14. Ernisov E. 1. Ignatiev V. (G) 22. Makas A. 33. Malitskiy K. 8. Migdalenok A. 77. Osipenko D. 7. Zabelin K.
Coaches
Martinovich M.	Chelyadinsky A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Nikiforenko O. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
58', 2 - 0, Lisakovich R. ⚽,
59', Dikhtievskiy V. ↓, Migdalenok A. ↑,
59', Ikechukwu C. M. ↓, Zabelin K. ↑,
59', Dubinets I. ↓, Makas A. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Eldarushev A. ⚽, Nikiforenko O. (A),
64', 4 - 0, Juninho ⚽, Lisakovich R. (A),
66', Nazarenko P. ↓, Ernisov E. ↑,
67', 4 - 1, Makas A. ⚽, Turich A. (A),
78', Baranok N. ↓, Zaleskiy A. ↑,
78', Balanovich S. ↓, Bozhko E. ↑,
78', Eldarushev A. ↓, Zherdev G. ↑,
79', Varaksa V. ↓, Malitskiy K. ↑,
85', Lisakovich R. ↓, Galyata D. ↑,
85', Volkov Z. ↓, Bykov N. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).

ML Vitebsk has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Minsk is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, ML Vitebsk is the clear favorite.

We predict that Minsk will win today's game, with odds of 6.79.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, ML Vitebsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.10.25	BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Slavia Mozyr	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Neman Grodno - ML Vitebsk	3:1 ✺
13.09.25	ML Vitebsk - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
08.09.25	Spartak Moscow - ML Vitebsk	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Minsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.10.25	Minsk - Dinamo Brest	1:0 ✺
26.09.25	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Minsk	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Minsk - Slutsk	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	Minsk - Dinamo Minsk	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Gomel - Minsk	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.05.25	Minsk - ML Vitebsk	1:2

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