Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 24

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadionul Orăşenesc (Mioveni)

Referee: Birsan M. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 2


	Mioveni		Sepsi OSK

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.67	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.72
	5.1	3.35	1.74
	3.7	3	1.94
	5.41	3.66	1.69
	4.75	3.3	1.7
	5.2	3.62	1.7	Watch
	4.95	3.35	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.81 ↑ (3.9)	3.4 ↑ (3.16)	1.74 ↓ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mioveni
19.3%

Draw
27.3%

Sepsi OSK
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

29.4%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

28.8%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mioveni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sepsi OSK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sepsi OSK's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mioveni than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sepsi OSK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.7%	4.3%	87%

Mioveni - Sepsi OSK Predictions

Users Predictions: Sepsi OSK will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mioveni won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sepsi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sepsi is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Mioveni won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Mioveni won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Mioveni
Romanian SuperLiga
28.01.23	UTA Arad - Mioveni	1:2 ✺
21.01.23	Mioveni - Petrolul Ploieşti	1:0 ✺
18.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Mioveni	2:2 ✺
12.12.22	Mioveni - Universitatea Craiova	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
08.12.22	Mioveni - UTA Arad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTLL
- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
20.01.23	Rapid Bucureşti - Sepsi OSK	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.23	Sepsi OSK - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
09.01.23	Radomiak Radom - Sepsi OSK	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
17.12.22	Sepsi OSK - Universitatea Cluj	2:1 ✺
09.12.22	Sepsi OSK - Voluntari	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
02.09.22	Sepsi OSK - Mioveni	0:1
13.03.22	Sepsi OSK - Mioveni	3:1
05.12.21	Mioveni - Sepsi OSK	0:2
02.08.21	Sepsi OSK - Mioveni	1:2
Romanian Cup
31.10.18	Mioveni - Sepsi OSK	0:5
Romanian Division 2
03.06.17	Sepsi OSK - Mioveni	1:1
26.11.16	Mioveni - Sepsi OSK	2:0

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