Match Info

ROMANIA: LIGA 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 12 December 2022, Monday

Location: Stadionul Orăşenesc (Mioveni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Prima Sport 1


	Mioveni		Universitatea Craiova

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.4	Watch
	6.5	3.6	1.51	Watch
	6.75	3.65	1.55
	7.8	3.6	1.46
	7.36	3.89	1.52
	7	3.6	1.47
	7.5	4.05	1.45	Watch
	7	3.85	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.05 ↑ (5.6)	3.76 ↑ (3.5)	1.48 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mioveni
13.1%

Draw
24.6%

Universitatea Craiova
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.7%

26.7%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.9%

25.4%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mioveni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Universitatea Craiova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitatea Craiova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mioveni than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitatea Craiova than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.1%	2.2%	92.6%

Mioveni - Universitatea Craiova Predictions

Users Predictions: Universitatea Craiova will win (126 of 136 users predict this - 92.65%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.26% – 97.04%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Liga 1 (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Championship Group)).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Mioveni could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Universitatea Craiova have a series of guest games.

In this match Universitatea Craiova is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Mioveni won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Mioveni won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Mioveni
Romanian Cup
08.12.22	Mioveni - UTA Arad	0:3 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
05.12.22	FCSB - Mioveni	5:1 ✺
13.11.22	Mioveni - CFR Cluj	0:1 ✺
Romanian Cup
08.11.22	Mioveni - Botoșani	1:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
04.11.22	Farul Constanța - Mioveni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLWL
- CS Universitatea Craiova
Romanian Cup
07.12.22	Argeș Pitești - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
03.12.22	Universitatea Craiova - U Craiova 1948	0:2 ✺
29.11.22	Chindia Târgoviște - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
12.11.22	Rapid Bucureşti - Universitatea Craiova	2:2 ✺
Romanian Cup
09.11.22	Ocna Mureș - Universitatea Craiova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Romanian SuperLiga
14.08.22	Universitatea Craiova - Mioveni	1:0
02.03.22	Mioveni - Universitatea Craiova	0:3
30.10.21	Universitatea Craiova - Mioveni	5:2

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