The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandela 32.8%
Draw 28.5%
Bragança 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
27.3%
39.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33%
27.2%
39.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (+1%)
Mirandela - Bragança Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group).
Mirandela has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bragança is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Bragança may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirandela won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Mirandela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
Watch
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