Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP A - ROUND 22

Date: 3 March 2024, Sunday


	Mirandela		Pevidem

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.05
	3.2	3.1	2.15
	3.05	3.05	2.14
	3.51	3.1	2.16
	3.12	3.43	2.18
	3.35	3.05	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.62)	3.12 ↑ (3.01)	2.13 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirandela
28%

Draw
29.2%

Pevidem
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

30.3%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

29.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirandela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Pevidem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandela than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pevidem than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Mirandela is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pevidem is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mirandela could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pevidem will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Mirandela won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Mirandela
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
25.02.24	Mirandela - Dumiense	1:3 ✺
17.02.24	Os Sandinenses - Mirandela	2:0 ✺
11.02.24	Mirandela - Vila Real	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Ribeirão - Mirandela	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	Mirandela - Limianos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- GD Pevidem
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
24.02.24	Pevidem - Montalegre	1:1 ✺
18.02.24	Dumiense - Pevidem	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pevidem - Brito	1:2 ✺
04.02.24	Os Sandinenses - Pevidem	0:4 ✺
27.01.24	Pevidem - Portosantense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.11.23	Pevidem - Mirandela	2:1

Mirandela - Pevidem: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide