The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Mirandés B 33.9%
Draw 34%
Santa Marta Tormes 32.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
36.2%
30.5%
33.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38%
32%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mirandés B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Santa Marta Tormes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés B than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Mirandés B - Santa Marta Tormes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
11', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 18th in the Relegation and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mirandés B won 1.
Mirandés B is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Santa Marta Tormes has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Mirandés B has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:11 (averaging 1.9:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Mirandés B against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 11:8 goals (averaging 2.2:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Santa Marta Tormes
8
5
2
1
11:6
5
17
18
Mirandes B
8
0
3
5
2:9
-7
3
Last Results with these Odds
Santa Marta Tormes - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 33.38%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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