The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Marta Tormes 27.9%
Draw 28.2%
Salamanca 43.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.6%
28.7%
48.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.6%
28.8%
48.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Marta Tormes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Marta Tormes's performance.
Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Marta Tormes than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Marta Tormes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salamanca than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
Santa Marta Tormes - Salamanca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Pena W. (Penalty Awarded),
23', 0 - 2, Murua J. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 2, Hernandez I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In recent outings, Santa Marta Tormes has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Salamanca shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Santa Marta Tormes could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Salamanca is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Santa Marta Tormes has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.8:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Santa Marta Tormes against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 1:3 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
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