Match Info

BRAZIL: Copa Paulista - Round 10

Date: 17 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia (Mirassol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, PlayPlus, R7, Sky+, TV Record, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Mirassol B		XV de Jaú

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.7
				Watch
	1.89	3.23	4.05
	1.9	3.3	3.88
	1.91	3.1	4
	1.99	3.2	3.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.27)	3.21 ↑ (3.1)	3.84 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol B
47.5%

Draw
28.6%

XV de Jaú
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mirassol B's performance.

XV de Jaú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and XV de Jaú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirassol B than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mirassol B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that XV de Jaú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mirassol B - XV de Jaú Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
86', 🟥,
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol B
Brazilian Copa Paulista
13.08.24	Grêmio Prudente - Mirassol B	1:1 ✺
05.08.24	Mirassol B - VOCEM	1:0 ✺
29.07.24	Votuporanguense - Mirassol B	2:2 ✺
15.07.24	XV de Jaú - Mirassol B	1:0 ✺
10.07.24	Mirassol B - Grêmio Prudente	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 TWTLT
- EC XV de Jaú
Brazilian Copa Paulista
03.08.24	XV de Jaú - Grêmio Prudente	1:0 ✺
28.07.24	VOCEM - XV de Jaú	0:1 ✺
20.07.24	XV de Jaú - Votuporanguense	0:0 ✺
15.07.24	XV de Jaú - Mirassol B	1:0 ✺
29.06.24	Grêmio Prudente - XV de Jaú	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
15.07.24	XV de Jaú - Mirassol B	1:0

Mirassol B - XV de Jaú: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide