Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 8

Date: 26 July 2026, Sunday


	Mirassol U20		Ferroviaria U20

	1	X	2
	3.40	3.20	1.93
	3.45	3.70	1.80
	3.46	3.22	1.95
	3.53	3.36	1.95	Watch
	3.40	3.15	1.93
	3.60	3.60	1.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↑ (2.55)	3.37 ↑ (3.25)	1.91 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mirassol U20
26%

Draw
26.8%

Ferroviaria U20
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.6%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mirassol U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mirassol U20's form might have worsened.

Ferroviaria U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviaria U20's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol U20 than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mirassol U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviaria U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent form of Mirassol U20 has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ferroviaria U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Ferroviaria U20 is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mirassol U20 won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Mirassol U20 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mirassol U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
18.07.26	São Bento U20 - Mirassol U20	2:2 ✺
10.07.26	Mirassol U20 - Portuguesa Santista U20	1:1 ✺
05.07.26	União Suzano U20 - Mirassol U20	2:2 ✺
26.06.26	Mirassol U20 - Jabaquara U20	0:1 ✺
12.06.26	CA Juventus U20 - Mirassol U20	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TTTLL
- Ferroviária U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
18.07.26	Ferroviaria U20 - Santos U20	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Ponte Preta U20 - Ferroviaria U20	0:2 ✺
03.07.26	Ferroviaria U20 - CA Juventus U20	2:1 ✺
28.06.26	Portuguesa SP U20 - Ferroviaria U20	0:0 ✺
12.06.26	Ferroviaria U20 - America SP U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	4:2
05.09.25	Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20	2:2
09.05.25	Ferroviaria U20 - Mirassol U20	0:3

Mirassol U20 - Ferroviaria U20: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide