The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ferroviaria U20 26.3%
Draw 27%
Santos U20 46.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.5%
26.3%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.8%
26%
45.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ferroviaria U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
Santos U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviaria U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Ferroviaria U20 - Santos U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟥,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria U20 won 2.
Ferroviaria U20 is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Santos U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Santos U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Santos U20 could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ferroviaria U20 won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Ferroviaria U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).