Match Info

Brasileiro Women - Round 10

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eurico Gaspar Dutra (Dutrinha) (Cuiabá)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	UOL Play


	Mixto		Bahia

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.55	1.58
	5.46	3.69	1.6
	5	3.4	1.57
	5.28	3.8	1.54
	5.33	3.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↓ (6.13)	3.59 ↓ (4.05)	1.54 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mixto
17.2%

Draw
24.9%

Bahia
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.7%

22.3%

62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.2%

21.5%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mixto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Bahia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mixto - Bahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Nagila (G) 10. Gauto F. 11. Gessica 4. Isabela 9. Isa Rangel 15. Joyce 8. Karolina Alves 2. Livia Mathias 6. Natalia Lopes 19. Nayara 21. Sara Piveta (C)	12. Yanne (G) 3. Aila (C) 6. Ana Julia 28. Cassia 9. Gica 5. Gomez A. 97. Isa Fernandes 27. Raquel 17. Roqueline 77. Suelen 64. Tchula
Substitutes
7. Andressa 17. Debora 40. De Macedo J. (G) 27. Lorena 99. Luana India 28. Priscila Andrade 22. Sassa 29. Silvana 13. Suyane 1. Thais (G) 25. Thais Prado 20. Thayna	15. Carol Martins 2. Dan 71. Eduarda Tosti 20. Ellen Santana 88. Helo 22. Isa Cruz (G) 13. Mila Santos 14. Rute Deveza 70. Terra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
25', Isabela 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Gauto F. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Aila ⚽,
45+6', Livia Mathias 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Isa Fernandes ↓, Ellen Santana ↑,
46', Ana Julia ↓, Dan ↑,
57', Suelen 🟨,
57', Gauto F. ↓, Andressa ↑,
60', Sara Piveta 🟨,
60', Gica ↓, Terra M. ↑,
73', Gessica ↓, Suyane ↑,
80', Suelen ↓, Carol Martins ↑,
88', Joyce ↓, Debora ↑,
89', Tchula ↓, Eduarda Tosti ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Recent form of Mixto has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bahia is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Bahia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bahia is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mixto EC Women
Brasileiro Women
01.05.26	Ferroviária - Mixto	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Mixto - Fluminense	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Mixto	3:1 ✺
03.04.26	Mixto - Internacional	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	América Mineiro - Mixto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLTT
- EC Bahia Women
Brasileiro Women
02.05.26	Bahia - Palmeiras	0:0 ✺
28.04.26	Bahia - Grêmio Porto Alegrense	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Flamengo - Bahia	1:3 ✺
01.04.26	Bahia - América Mineiro	3:1 ✺
28.03.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 TLWWW

Mixto - Bahia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide