Match Info

Svenska Cupen - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Strandvallen (Hällevik)

Referee: Maqedonci G. (Swe)


	Mjällby		Malmö

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.92	3.55	3.95
	1.93	3.61	3.97
	1.93	3.52	3.52
	2	3.1	3.4
	1.88	3.85	3.59	Watch
	2.44	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.44)	3.5 ↑ (3.35)	3.52 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mjällby
46.5%

Draw
26.8%

Malmö
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

27.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mjällby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mjällby's performance.

Malmö has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Malmö might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mjällby than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mjällby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Malmö than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Malmö could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Mjällby - Malmö Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Mjällby will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Malmö will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Malmö (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Malmö (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Wallinder R. (G) 5. Iqbal A. 4. Noren A. 24. Pettersson T. 10. Kjaer J. 22. Gustavsson J. (C) 7. Gustafson V. 19. Manneh A. 14. Granath V. 18. Bergstrom J. 17. Stroud E.	30. Olsen R. (G) 4. Kurtulus B. 18. Jansson P. 19. Rosler C. 47. Lundbergh T. 22. Ali T. 6. Karabelyov Y. 40. Busuladzic K. 8. Sigurdsson A. 10. Christiansen A. (C) 20. Botheim E.
Substitutes
39. Arrhenius R. 15. Bang-Kittilsen B. 35. Lundin A. (G) 33. Miettinen T. 25. Nielsen M. 23. Samuelsen A. 11. Stavitski T. 6. Thorell L. 27. Tidstrand L.	23. Astrand John N. 27. Dahlin J. (G) 5. Djuric A. 11. Ekong E. 32. Gudjohnsen D. T. 29. Haksabanovic S. 2. Karlsson J. 28. Milosavljevic J. 46. Palac A.
Coaches
Aksum K.	Ramirez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Stroud E. ⚽, Manneh A. (A),
27', 2 - 0, Bergstrom J. ⚽, Stroud E. (A),
43', Botheim E. 🟨,
43', Gustavsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', Pettersson T. 🟨,
51', Busuladzic K. 🟨,
57', Sigurdsson A. 🟨,
58', Kjaer J. ↓, Samuelsen A. ↑,
58', Manneh A. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
59', 3 - 0, Lundbergh T. (Own goal),
63', 4 - 0, Granath V. ⚽, Thorell L. (A),
63', Christiansen A. ↓, Haksabanovic S. ↑,
63', Busuladzic K. ↓, Astrand John N. ↑,
63', Kurtulus B. ↓, Karlsson J. ↑,
67', Lundbergh T. 🟨,
72', Bergstrom J. 🟨,
74', Iqbal A. ↓, Tidstrand L. ↑,
74', Granath V. ↓, Stavitski T. ↑,
77', Ali T. ↓, Ekong E. ↑,
86', Gustavsson J. ↓, Arrhenius R. ↑,
86', Astrand John N. 🟨,
87', Botheim E. ↓, Gudjohnsen D. T. ↑,
90+2', Lundbergh T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 3.

Mjällby has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Malmö has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Malmö may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Mjällby won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Mjällby won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mjällby AIF
Svenska Cupen
07.03.26	Mjällby - Värnamo	2:1 ✺
27.02.26	Örgryte - Mjällby	0:3 ✺
21.02.26	Mjällby - Kalmar	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Mjällby - Öster	3:2 ✺
06.02.26	Rosenborg - Mjällby	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWWWT
- Malmö FF
Svenska Cupen
08.03.26	Malmö - Halmstad	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Karlstad - Malmö	0:4 ✺
22.02.26	Malmö - Varbergs BoIS	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
10.02.26	Malmö - Odd	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors - Malmö	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
09.08.25	Malmö - Mjällby	1:3
30.06.25	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1
29.09.24	Malmö - Mjällby	2:0
13.07.24	Mjällby - Malmö	2:1
14.08.23	Mjällby - Malmö	1:0
09.07.23	Malmö - Mjällby	1:2
21.08.22	Mjällby - Malmö	1:1

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